Tensions in the Gulf: regional instability
- Oil: the Gulf has a large share of the world's oil, so the USA, Europe and Asia want it stable.
- Iranian Revolution (1979): the Shah was overthrown and an Islamic Republic was set up, worrying neighbours and the West.
- Iran–Iraq War (1980–88): Saddam Hussein attacked Iran; eight years of fighting killed hundreds of thousands. Many countries, including the USA and Gulf states, helped Iraq.
- Iraq's debt: Iraq owed billions, much of it to Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. It accused Kuwait of over-producing oil (keeping prices low) and taking oil from the shared Rumaila field, and it claimed Kuwait was historically part of Iraq.
The Gulf War, 1990–91
- 2 August 1990: Iraqi forces invaded and took over Kuwait in about two days.
- World response: the UN Security Council condemned the invasion, put sanctions on Iraq and later gave a deadline of 15 January 1991 to leave.
- Coalition: about 35 countries, led by the USA under President George H. W. Bush and including the UK, France, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, sent forces to Saudi Arabia (Operation Desert Shield).
- Operation Desert Storm: air attacks from 17 January 1991; a ground attack from 24 February freed Kuwait in about 100 hours. Retreating Iraqi troops set Kuwait's oil wells on fire.
- Results: Kuwait was freed but Saddam stayed in power. Uprisings by Shia and Kurds were crushed. The UN kept sanctions and weapons inspections; no-fly zones protected the north and south. US troops stayed in Saudi Arabia.
The war on Al-Qaeda
Al-Qaeda
Al-Qaeda ("the base") was set up around 1988 by Osama bin Laden and fighters who had opposed the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan. It opposed US troops in Saudi Arabia, US support for Israel and Western influence in Muslim countries, and used terrorist attacks: the US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania (1998), the warship USS Cole (2000) and on 11 September 2001 four hijacked planes in the USA, killing nearly 3,000 people.
Bush's war on terror
President George W. Bush declared a global "war on terror" against terrorist groups and the states that helped them. It included military action, new security laws, freezing money, and the detention of suspects (for example at Guantánamo Bay), some of which was widely criticised for breaking human rights.
Afghanistan, 2001–2009
- Background: after the Soviet withdrawal (1989) and civil war, the Taliban took Kabul in 1996 and ruled most of the country with very strict laws; they let Al-Qaeda run training camps.
- October 2001: the Taliban refused to hand over bin Laden. The USA, UK and allies began air strikes (Operation Enduring Freedom) and, with the Afghan Northern Alliance, removed the Taliban by December.
- New government: Hamid Karzai led an interim government and was elected president in 2004. NATO's ISAF force helped with security and rebuilding.
- Problems: bin Laden escaped (he was found and killed in 2011, after this period). The Taliban regrouped and an insurgency grew from about 2005, with roadside bombs and attacks; the opium trade grew; civilian deaths caused anger. In 2009 President Obama sent more troops.
The Iraq War, 2003
Saddam Hussein's regime
Saddam led Iraq from 1979 as a dictator through the Ba'ath Party, secret police and fear. Opponents were jailed or killed. Kurds suffered the Anfal campaign, including the chemical attack on Halabja (1988); Shia uprisings in 1991 were crushed.
Reasons given for invasion
- Claims that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and was hiding them from UN inspectors.
- Claims of links to terrorism (later shown to be weak).
- Removing a cruel dictator and spreading democracy; critics also pointed to oil and US strategy.
The invasion
Without a new UN resolution, and despite big protests worldwide, a US-led coalition (with the UK under Tony Blair) invaded on 20 March 2003. Baghdad fell on 9 April. Saddam was captured in December 2003 and executed in 2006. No WMD stockpiles were found.
The impact of war on the Iraqi people
- Deaths and injuries: estimates of civilian deaths up to 2009 run into the hundreds of thousands.
- Displacement: about 4 million Iraqis fled their homes, inside Iraq or to nearby countries.
- Collapse of order: looting after the invasion; the army and Ba'ath officials were dismissed, leaving many angry and jobless.
- Insurgency and sectarian violence between Sunni and Shia groups peaked in 2006–07; Al-Qaeda in Iraq grew.
- Services: power, water and hospitals were damaged; daily life was hard.
- Some changes: elections in 2005 and a new constitution; Kurds gained more self-rule. A US troop "surge" in 2007 reduced violence; in 2008–09 plans were agreed for US forces to leave.
Try it: build your own timeline
On a strip of paper draw a line from 1979 to 2009. Mark each event from the 3D slider. Colour causes in one colour and effects in another, and draw arrows from each cause to what it led to. Then answer: which event do you think was the biggest turning point, and why?
Key formulas and definitions
- 1979: Iranian Revolution; Saddam takes power in Iraq
- 1980–88: Iran–Iraq War
- 2 Aug 1990: Iraq invades Kuwait; Jan–Feb 1991: Desert Storm
- 11 Sept 2001: 9/11 attacks; Oct 2001: war in Afghanistan
- 20 Mar 2003: invasion of Iraq; Dec 2003: Saddam captured; 2006: executed
- 2007: US surge; 2009: withdrawal plans in Iraq, more troops in Afghanistan
Worked examples
1. Give two reasons why Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1990.
1) Debt: Iraq owed Kuwait billions after the Iran–Iraq War and wanted it cancelled. 2) Oil: Iraq said Kuwait pumped too much oil (lowering prices) and took oil from the shared Rumaila field. Iraq also claimed Kuwait was historically part of Iraq.
2. How many years passed between the end of the Gulf War (1991) and the invasion of Iraq (2003)? What happened to Iraq in between?
2003 − 1991 = 12 years. Iraq was under UN sanctions and weapons inspections, with no-fly zones in the north and south, and Saddam stayed in power.
3. Explain why the USA attacked Afghanistan in 2001 and not Iraq first.
The 9/11 attacks were carried out by Al-Qaeda, whose leaders and camps were in Afghanistan under Taliban protection. The Taliban refused to hand over bin Laden, so Afghanistan was the direct target. Iraq was attacked later (2003) for different stated reasons: claimed WMD and the nature of Saddam's regime.
Common mistakes
- Mixing up the two Iraq wars. The 1991 Gulf War freed Kuwait and left Saddam in power; the 2003 Iraq War removed Saddam.
- Saying Iraq carried out 9/11. It was Al-Qaeda, based in Afghanistan; no strong link to Saddam was found.
- Confusing the Taliban and Al-Qaeda. The Taliban were Afghanistan's rulers; Al-Qaeda was a terrorist network they sheltered.
- Writing that WMD were found in Iraq in 2003. Large stockpiles were not found.