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Financial Markets: Money, Capital, Forex, Bonds and Regulation

Financial markets move money from savers to borrowers. The money market deals in short-term loans (under one year), the capital market in long-term finance (shares and bonds), and the foreign exchange market in currencies. A bond pays a fixed coupon, so its yield = coupon ÷ price: when the price rises the yield falls, and when market interest rates rise, bond prices fall. Banks are linked, so one failure can spread (systemic risk). If banks expect a rescue they take more risk (moral hazard). Regulators (a conduct regulator and a prudential regulator, usually linked to the central bank) set rules such as capital buffers to keep the system safe.

🎬 Step-by-step story

  1. There are three main markets. Money market: short loans, under one year. Capital market: long-term money from shares and bonds. Forex market: swapping one currency for another.
  2. A bond is an IOU from a government or firm. This one has a face value of 1000 and pays 50 a year. Yield = 50 ÷ 1000 = 5%.
  3. Now the bond's price rises to 1250. It still pays only 50. Yield = 50 ÷ 1250 = 4%. Price goes up, yield goes down, like a see-saw.
  4. Banks lend to each other every day. Watch: one bank fails, and the banks it owes money to fall too. This chain is called systemic risk.
  5. If a bank thinks the government will always rescue it, it takes bigger risks. That is moral hazard. So regulators make banks keep a capital buffer (green) that soaks up losses.
  6. Your turn. Move the bond price and read the yield. Then raise the capital buffer and count how many banks still fall.

Tip: drag the 3D scene to turn it. Use two fingers to zoom.

🤔 Common doubts, cleared

Why does the yield fall when the bond price rises?

The coupon is fixed. Paying more for the same 50 a year means a smaller return on your money: 50 ÷ 1250 is less than 50 ÷ 1000.

What is the real difference between the money and capital markets?

Time. Money-market loans last under a year; capital-market finance (shares, bonds) lasts years.

Why can one bank failure hurt banks that did nothing wrong?

They lent money to the failed bank. Their loans now lose value, so they can fall too, like the dominoes.

Does a rescue promise make banks safer?

In the short run it calms panic, but it also makes banks take bigger risks (moral hazard). That is why the buffer, not the net, is the main defence.

How does a capital buffer stop the chain?

The buffer is the bank's own money. It absorbs losses first, so the bank can stay standing when a neighbour falls.

Money, capital and foreign exchange markets

A financial market is any place, real or online, where people trade money and financial assets. Its main job is to move money from savers (who have spare money) to borrowers (who need it now).

Other assets include derivatives (contracts whose value depends on another asset) and commodities. Good markets give liquidity (you can sell quickly) and help set prices for risk.

Bonds and interest rates: the inverse relationship

A bond is a loan you give to a government or firm. It has a face value (paid back at the end, on the maturity date) and a fixed yearly payment called the coupon.

Yield = coupon ÷ market price × 100%.

The coupon never changes, but the price in the secondary market does. So:

Why do bond prices fall when interest rates rise? If new bonds now pay 6%, nobody will pay full price for an old bond paying 5%. Its price must drop until its yield also reaches about 6%. The opposite happens when rates fall. Long-dated bonds swing the most. Central banks use this link: buying bonds (for example in quantitative easing) pushes bond prices up and long-term interest rates down.

Systemic risk and moral hazard

Systemic risk is the risk that trouble at one bank or market spreads and harms the whole financial system and the real economy. It happens because banks lend to each other, hold similar assets and depend on confidence. A run on one bank can make savers panic at others.

Moral hazard is when someone takes more risk because someone else will carry the cost if things go wrong. A bank that is "too big to fail" may expect a government bail-out, so it lends recklessly. Insured depositors also stop checking how safe their bank is.

Other market failures in finance: asymmetric information (the borrower knows more than the lender), speculation and bubbles, and market rigging.

Regulation of the financial system

Most countries split the job between two kinds of regulator:

Regulation reduces systemic risk and moral hazard, but too much can raise costs and cut lending. Global rules (the Basel agreements) set minimum bank capital in many countries.

Try it: price, yield and buffers

In the 3D free-play step, set the bond price to 800, 1000 and 1250. Write down the yield each time and check it with coupon ÷ price. Then set the capital buffer to 0%, 5% and 8%. How many banks fall each time? This is why regulators ask for bigger buffers.

Key formulas and definitions

Worked examples

1. A bond has a face value of 1000 and a coupon of 40 a year. It trades at 800. Find its yield.

Yield = 40 ÷ 800 × 100 = 5%.

2. A bond pays 60 a year. Market rates fall so investors accept a 4% yield. What price will the bond trade at?

Price = coupon ÷ yield = 60 ÷ 0.04 = 1500.

3. Explain why a government bond's price may fall after a central bank raises interest rates.

New bonds now offer a higher return. An old bond with a fixed, lower coupon is less attractive, so buyers only take it at a lower price. The price falls until its yield matches the new market rate.

4. A firm issues new shares to build a factory. Which market is this, and is it primary or secondary?

Capital market (long-term finance), primary market (new shares sold for the first time).

Common mistakes

Practice quiz

1. Which market deals in loans of less than one year?
2. A bond pays 50 a year and costs 1000. Its yield is:
3. If market interest rates rise, existing bond prices usually:
4. One bank's failure spreading to others is called:
5. A bank takes big risks because it expects a government rescue. This is:

Practice: answer these yourself

Type or choose your answer, then press Check. Use a hint if you are stuck; the full solution appears after you answer.

Frequently asked questions

What is the relationship between bond prices and interest rates?

They move in opposite directions. When interest rates rise, existing bond prices fall; when rates fall, bond prices rise.

What is the difference between systemic risk and moral hazard?

Systemic risk is the danger that a problem spreads through the whole financial system. Moral hazard is taking extra risk because someone else will pay if it goes wrong.

Who regulates financial markets?

Usually a prudential regulator (safety of banks, often in the central bank) and a conduct regulator (fair treatment of customers), such as the PRA and FCA in the UK or the RBI and SEBI in India.

Where this is taught

England (GCSE, A level)Year 134.2.4 Financial markets and monetary policy

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