How to do an inquiry
An inquiry is a careful way to study a problem. Follow five steps:
- Ask a clear question, such as "How does an ageing population affect pensions?"
- Collect facts and numbers from reliable sources (government statistics, research reports).
- Explain the cause and effect chain.
- Compare options and who gains or loses with each.
- Decide and say your view with evidence, and note what you are unsure about.
We use Japan as the case study because its changes came early and strongly. Other countries, including India, are following the same direction at different speeds.
Ageing society and social security
A country has an ageing society when a large and growing share of people are old (usually 65 or more) and few children are born. In Japan about 12 of every 100 people were 65 or older in 1990, about 29 in 2022, and the forecast for 2065 is about 38.
Social security means the support the community gives for old age, illness, disability and unemployment: pensions, health insurance, long-term care insurance and welfare. Most of the money comes from workers' contributions and taxes. In 1990 there were about 5.8 working-age people for each person aged 65 or more; in 2022 about 2; by 2065 maybe 1.3.
Options discussed: a later retirement age, more women and older people working, higher contributions or taxes, careful spending on health, and technology and care robots. Each option helps some groups and costs others.
Local autonomy and shrinking towns
Local autonomy means that towns, villages and prefectures run many of their own affairs: schools, roads, water, care services and local rules, through leaders and assemblies the residents elect. They earn money from local taxes and also get grants from the national government.
When young people move to big cities, small towns lose residents and tax income, but fixed costs such as roads stay. Towns respond by sharing services with neighbours, merging offices, attracting visitors and remote workers, and letting residents help plan. The key question is how much freedom and money local governments should have, and how residents can take part.
Diverse ways of working
Work now takes many forms: regular full-time jobs, non-regular jobs (part-time, contract or dispatched staff), self-employment, remote work, flexible hours and side jobs. In Japan non-regular workers were about 20 of every 100 employees in 1990 and about 37 in 2022.
Benefits: people can match work to family needs, and companies can hire flexibly. Risks: lower pay, less training and weaker social insurance for non-regular workers. Reform ideas include equal pay for equal work, support for childcare and care at home, and rules on overtime.
Change in industrial structure
Economists divide jobs into three groups: primary (farming, fishing), secondary (factories, building) and tertiary (services such as shops, schools, health, IT). In Japan primary work fell from about 30 of every 100 workers in 1960 to about 3 in 2020, while services rose from about 41 to about 73. This shift is called industrial structure change.
Causes: higher incomes, machines and automation, trade with other countries, and new technology. Effects: new jobs in care and IT, but old jobs and some regions decline, so people need retraining. Question to ask: how can workers move to the new jobs?
Try it: run your own mini inquiry
Pick one chart in the 3D. Write a one-line question, then move the year slider and note the numbers. Write one cause, one effect and one idea for action. Share it with a friend and ask what evidence would change their mind.
Key formulas and definitions
- Workers per elderly person = working-age people ÷ people aged 65+
- Share (%) = part ÷ total × 100
- Inquiry = Ask → Collect → Explain → Compare → Decide
- Three sectors: primary (farm), secondary (factory), tertiary (services)
Worked examples
1. In 2022, about 59 of every 100 Japanese people were aged 15 to 64 and 29 were 65 or older. How many working-age people are there for each elderly person?
59 ÷ 29 = about 2.0. So about 2 working-age people for each person aged 65 or more.
2. A town in the chart has 8 homes with people at stage 1 and 3 homes at stage 3. By what percent did the number fall?
Fall = 8 − 3 = 5 homes. 5 ÷ 8 × 100 = 62.5%.
3. In 2022, about 37 of every 100 employees had non-regular jobs. In a company with 500 employees at the same rate, how many are non-regular?
37% of 500 = 0.37 × 500 = 185 employees.
Common mistakes
- Treating a number as the whole story. Always ask what else might explain it and where the number comes from.
- Saying the ageing problem is caused only by old people. It is also caused by fewer children and by longer lives.
- Thinking Japan's issues are unique. Many countries, including India in the future, face similar changes.
- Giving only one solution and ignoring who might lose from it. Compare options and their effects on different groups.